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Community Spotlight

Q&A: Jay Boren on How Product Concentration Can Limit a Business's Value

A successful product can generate steady revenue while exposing a business to significant risk. If most sales depend on one product supplied by a single manufacturer, a production delay, pricing change, or supplier dispute can threaten earnings. Jay Boren faced this concentration risk when he acquired LockNLube, a grease-tool business whose flagship $30 coupler came from a South African manufacturer that held the patent and supplied the product on a non-exclusive basis.

When Boren acquired LockNLube in March 2017, the company generated approximately $1 million in annual revenue. Over the next seven and a half years, he expanded its catalog from a handful of products to more than 250 SKUs. He focused on owners who already purchased the original coupler, introducing grease guns, fitting kits, and other maintenance tools. This allowed LockNLube to sell more products to existing customers while reducing its dependence on a single revenue source.

Boren later purchased four or five small businesses, generally paying between $50,000 and $300,000 per acquisition. These transactions brought additional products, patents, trademarks, and intellectual property into LockNLube. By August 2024, the company employed approximately 20 people and had developed a broader product portfolio, supported by both direct consumer sales and business distribution.

Boren eventually sold LockNLube to Macnaught, an Australian family-owned manufacturer with complementary products, established manufacturing facilities, engineering resources, and an existing supply chain. The acquisition gave Macnaught access to LockNLube's products and customers, while providing LockNLube with manufacturing and operational capabilities that would have been more expensive to develop independently. Boren remained involved for approximately two years, helping integrate ERP systems, introduce products, and resolve supply-chain issues.

Expanding from one flagship product to 250 SKUs can spread revenue across more categories, but it does not necessarily eliminate the risk of relying on a single manufacturer. Buyers may examine both revenue concentration and the contractual arrangements governing critical suppliers, particularly when the supplier owns the underlying intellectual property.

Boren's journey shows how expanding into adjacent products, acquiring intellectual property, and developing distribution channels can change a business's profile before an exit. It also illustrates why strategic buyers may value a company differently when it already possesses the manufacturing, engineering, and supply-chain capabilities needed to support its next stage of growth.

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Governance Feed

  1. Axial published anonymized data from 245 lower-middle-market transactions closed in Q3 2026, covering company revenue, EBITDA, industry, geography, and buyer interest. Transportation businesses recorded the highest average revenue at $20.4 million and EBITDA at $3.4 million. Business services attracted the highest average buyer pursuit rate at 9.3%, followed by healthcare at 8.9%. The Southeast accounted for 50 transactions, ahead of the Midwest with 40 and the Pacific region with 38.

  2. BizBuySell’s Q3 2026 Insight Report recorded 2,132 closed small business sales, down 7% year over year, while the median sale price rose 17% to $350,000. Buyer confidence fell to 49 from 52, and nearly half of buyers believe listed businesses are overvalued. Businesses with revenue above $1 million closed at 100.8% of the asking price, compared with 93.6% for smaller ones.
     

  3. NFIB’s Small Business Optimism Index fell 0.8 points in September to 97.9, just below its 52-year average, while its Uncertainty Index rose to 90, well above the historical average of 68. Labor quality remained owners’ top problem at 26%. Among the 51% of owners hiring or trying to hire, 87% reported few or no qualified applicants. The average rate on short-term loans rose 0.7 points to 8.2%.

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Thesis Principle

Market timing affects both the price a seller receives and the terms a buyer is willing to offer. Businesses with growing revenue, stable margins, and predictable cash flow generally attract stronger offers than those facing declining performance or operational problems. Financing conditions also influence valuations. Higher interest rates increase acquisition costs, while tighter SBA lending reduces the number of qualified buyers for smaller businesses. Industry conditions also matter: buyers typically pay more for companies in growing sectors than those facing declining demand. Owners who start preparing for a sale while the business is performing well have more flexibility in choosing when to enter the market.

Resources & Events

📅 EPI Southeast Michigan 2026 Business Owner Forum (West Bloomfield, MI - November 5, 2026)

The Exit Planning Institute's Southeast Michigan Chapter hosts its fourth annual Business Owner Forum, bringing together business owners to discuss company valuation, succession planning, and preparing for an eventual exit. The half-day event includes a keynote on how management teams influence business value, panels featuring business owners, and a discussion with an owner who has completed an exit. Five short presentations cover reducing owner dependence, building transferable business value, company culture, and real estate strategies for sellers. Details →

📅 State of the Middle Market Boston Roundtable (Boston, MA - November 19, 2026)

Morgan Lewis, GF Data, and PCR Partners host a roundtable for M&A and private equity professionals examining middle-market acquisitions and the outlook for 2027. GF Data will present valuation multiples, leverage levels, and transaction terms from private equity-backed deals involving businesses valued between $10 million and $500 million. Panelists will discuss debt financing conditions, the use of AI in acquisitions and business operations, sectors attracting buyer interest, and economic and regulatory developments affecting deal activity. Details →

📊 Report Spotlight: Capital Markets Update Q2 2026 (Capstone Partners)

Capstone Partners' October report found that middle-market M&A volume declined 9.1% in Q2 2026 from the previous quarter, although first-half transaction volume remained 9.3% above 2025 levels. Private strategic buyers completed 6% fewer deals, but average transaction value increased 16% to $71.2 million, reflecting continued demand for larger acquisitions. Private equity exits fell 17.8% to 213 transactions, while the median holding period for active buyouts reached a record 4.2 years. Read →

For the Commute

The 5 C’s That Set Your Price (M&A Talk)

Mark Sims of ConsultMSG explains five factors buyers examine when valuing a business: competitive positioning, clean financial records, cash conversion cycles, customer and supplier concentration, and operational capabilities. The discussion covers how unreliable financial data can delay due diligence, why dependence on a few customers can reduce buyer confidence, and how documented processes and transferable supplier contracts affect valuations. Sims also explains why buyers may discount a purchase price when significant investments are needed after closing.

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